https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2019/03/04/nobel-prize-winning-psychologist-ceos-dont-be-so-quick-go-with-your-gut/?utm_term=.de7528b97165 https://sloanreview.mit.edu/article/a-structured-approach-to-strategic-decisions/?utm_medium=referral&utm_source=washpo&utm_campaign=Kahn0319 (free version of this no longer available … that I can find) https://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/27/books/review/thinking-fast-and-slow-by-daniel-kahneman-book-review.html https://www.chronicle.com/article/The-Anatomy-of-Influence/129688 Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky (Nobel Prize 2002 psychologists) upended the notion that human beings are rational decision-makers This work influenced how medical decisions made, political scientists think about foreign policy, investors evaluate investment risks Kahneman with two others wrote … Continue reading WaPo – Nobel Prize-winning psychologist to CEOs – Don’t be so quick to go with your gut
https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2019/03/20/705191851/statisticians-call-to-arms-reject-significance-and-embrace-uncertainty https://amstat.tandfonline.com/toc/utas20/current https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-00857-9 Why do studies often flip-flop from one answer to another? one reason for the fluctuations is that scientists have a hard time handling the uncertainty It is being suggest to ban the very concept of "statistical significance." declaring a result to be statistically significant or not essentially forces complicated questions to be … Continue reading NPR – Statisticians Call To Arms – Reject Significance And Embrace Uncertainty
https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-estimates-of-the-gig-economy-went-wrong-11546857000 https://www.wsj.com/articles/was-the-gig-economy-overblown-1528403201?mod=article_inline https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/lkatz/files/rsage_freeman_draft_v10_new.pdf Alan Krueger of Princeton University and Lawrence Katz of Harvard, experts on 'gig economy' say their estimates of its impact were too high in 2015 survey they overestimated how people using jobs, especially via apps like Uber, would upend traditional work arrangements Krueger and Katz now explain how the thesis itself was … Continue reading WSJ – How Estimates of the Gig Economy Went Wrong
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1594488215/ref=ppx_yo_dt_b_asin_title_o01__o00_s00?ie=UTF8&psc=1 What a good book on "thinking about thinking". Below is a summary of the book above (which is 218 pages) Intro – Moral Algebra A growing scientific field called "decision theory" – roots in economics, behavioral psychology, neuroscience – codifying a number of frameworks for making long-term decisions Create a list of pros and … Continue reading Farsighted – How We Make the Decisions that Matter the Most – Steven Johnson
https://www.washingtonpost.com/science/2019/01/07/whats-behind-confidence-incompetent-this-suddenly-popular-psychological-phenomenon/?utm_term=.8d6edc272668 Someone who has very little knowledge in a subject claims to know a lot This phenomenon has a name: the Dunning-Kruger effect it is present in everybody to some extent 1999 paper, published in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, David Dunning and Justin Kruger put data to what has been known by philosophers … Continue reading WaPo – What’s behind the confidence of the incompetent?
As super fast read. Some good insights not only for politics but also business and military. For the Business side, substitute words like "director"/"VP"/etc for "commander". Substitute other words for "live with", "language", "religion", "clothing", "servants" for other suitable words. https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1501182005/ref=oh_aui_detailpage_o03_s00?ie=UTF8&psc=1 https://wwi.lib.byu.edu/index.php/The_27_Articles_of_T.E._Lawrence Just summary from the various articles. Again, super fast read so summary really … Continue reading 27 Articles – T.E. Lawrence
I wonder, why…just because a person is born in a specific geographic area, have adhere to particular laws? In other words, just cause mom and dad live in a specific country, why is their child bound by its laws? This child has had no input on these laws. This child has had no input on … Continue reading Civil Disobedience – H.D. Thoreau